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ASA Recommends Even-Handed Pressure Regarding China
Trade
June 23, 2005... Saint Louis, Missouri... Representing
U.S. soybean producers, and the interests of other U.S. commodity
groups, the American Soybean Association (ASA) today testified at a
U.S.-China
Economic Relations hearing before the United States Senate Committee on
Finance. ASA told the committee that it believes improved behavior
results from the constant application of even-handed pressure to respect
trade agreements through discussions and negotiations. ASA and other
U.S. agricultural organizations actively support this approach with
China.
"ASA certainly does not support provocative
measures that would try to force China to revalue its currency through
imposition of punitive tariffs on imports of Chinese products,"
said ASA President Neal Bredehoeft, a soybean producer from Alma, Mo.
"Such punitive rather than constructive measures are not likely to
have the desired effect of changing China’s policies, and could
trigger retaliation by China."
The soybean leader pointed out that on a previous
occasion when the United States cut off grain exports to the Soviet
Union in 1980, it sent a shock wave through world agricultural markets.
Not only were the Soviets able to source wheat and soybeans from
alternative suppliers, but other major U.S. customers decided the U.S.
was an unreliable supplier. The Japanese, in particular, invested
heavily in development of soybean production in southern Brazil, a
country that has become the largest competitor for U.S. soybean exports
and is rapidly emerging as an aggressive seller of cotton, sugar,
livestock and biofuels products.
"Twenty-five years ago, U.S. policymakers
convinced themselves that we could control global agricultural
trade," Bredehoeft said. "Today, with the emergence of Brazil
and other South American exporters, there can be no such mistake. In
response to trade sanctions, China could easily replace U.S. soybeans
and other agricultural products from other sources. The result would be
the loss of a growing $3.0 billion soybean market for U.S. soybean
farmers that has taken us 20 years to develop."
This year, the value of U.S. soybean exports to China
is expected to reach a record $2.96 billion. This represents a
seven-fold increase during a decade that has seen China emerge as the
largest foreign buyer of U.S. soybeans. The 440 million bushels the U.S.
will likely export to China in 2005, represent 40 percent of total U.S.
soybean exports, and 18 percent of last year’s total U.S. soybean
harvest.
"It is impossible to overstate the importance of
China as a market for U.S. soybeans," Bredehoeft said.
"Prospects for continued rapid growth in Chinese soybean imports
are excellent."
China’s population continues to expand and is
becoming increasingly urban. As a result of dynamic economic growth,
more Chinese consumers can afford and are seeking a higher standard of
living, including more protein and vegetable oil in their diet. China’s
ability to supply these needs through increased production of soybeans
and other feeds and oilseeds is limited, so most of the increase in
demand will be filled by imports.
Development of Chinese demand for soybeans has not
been driven only by demographics and economic growth. Twenty years ago,
ASA established a presence in Beijing to develop what was then a small
market for U.S. soybeans.
"Working with the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s
Foreign Agricultural Service and the soybean checkoff, ASA has
undertaken a variety of programs to educate the Chinese on the economic,
nutritional, and other benefits of utilizing U.S. soybean meal for
animal feed and soybean oil for human consumption," Bredehoeft
said. "These efforts have clearly paid off."
ASA has also worked very closely with the current and
previous Administrations to increase access to the Chinese market
through trade and political negotiations. ASA provided specific
objectives to U.S. negotiators during talks on China’s accession to
the World Trade Organization, and strongly supported approval of that
agreement. ASA looks now to the current negotiations under the Doha
Development Agenda to further improve the rules governing market access.
"While China is U.S. soybean farmers’ largest
export market, our industry’s trade relations with China have not been
without difficulties," Bredehoeft noted. "We have seen soybean
exports disrupted in the past by the imposition of new regulations as
well as arbitrary and unscientific import inspection procedures.
However, we have found the best way to resolve these issues is through
steady and even-handed dialogue, as well as political pressure. We are
hopeful that China is coming to accept greater market access and
commercial trade rules as it fully participates in the world economy.
"China is a vital and growing market for U.S.
agricultural sales," Bredehoeft said. "It is one of the
strongest arguments for supporting efforts to open world markets through
the Doha trade negotiations. Any action to force changes in China’s
economic policies by imposing punitive tariffs would have the most
negative consequences, not only for U.S. soybean exports, but for
efforts to further liberalize the global trading system."
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For more information contact:
Neal Bredehoeft, ASA President, (660) 674-2442, nbredehoeft@almanet.net
Bob Callanan, Communications Director, (314) 576-1770, bcallanan@soy.org
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